Weekly Weather Outlook
A number of weather systems are driving an active week of weather across Australia, with several regions experiencing periods of significant rainfall, thunderstorms and temperature fluctuations. These conditions have prompted severe weather warnings across multiple parts of the country.Northern Australia
- Rainfall: Widespread rainfall is expected throughout the week, associated with slow-moving cut-off lows and extended upper-level troughs. Much of this rainfall will be accompanied by thunderstorms.
- Heat: Heatwave warnings remain in place across northern coastal regions.
- Flooding: Minor to moderate flood warnings continue across central and southern Queensland.
South-East Australia
- Thunderstorms: Thunderstorm activity is forecast across northern New South Wales and southern Queensland on Wednesday. Further storms are expected along the inland and coastal ranges of the east coast on Saturday and Sunday.
- Temperatures: Very cold mornings are expected across southern regions, including Tasmania, Victoria and southern New South Wales. Minimum temperatures will gradually increase as the week progresses, before easing again towards the weekend. Conditions will be considerably drier across these regions compared to last week.
South-West Australia
- Thunderstorms: Thunderstorm activity is forecast around the Geraldton region on Tuesday and Wednesday. Further storms are possible along the Western Australia–South Australia border on Thursday and Sunday.
- Temperatures: Cool overnight temperatures will gradually warm throughout the week, before another cooling trend develops heading into the weekend.
In This Week’s Video
This week, we also take a closer look at the rainfall and temperature outlook for December, with current forecasts indicating a wetter-than-usual month across much of Australia.We also investigate which forecast models are worth trusting for different types of outlooks. It turns out that some of the Bureau of Meteorology’s (BoM) seasonal forecast products have shown some limitations, while others have performed exceptionally well throughout the year. We break down which models have been getting it right and where to place your confidence moving forward.
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